I’m John Baumgartner, a PhD candidate in the Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions at the School of Botany, University of Melbourne. My research aims to estimate climate change-related extinction risks through the integration of correlative and mechanistic models of habitat change, and models of population dynamics. This approach addresses an important shortcoming of traditional methods; by explicitly modelling the effect of habitat change on population processes, it is possible not only to predict changes in the extent, arrangement and quality of suitable habitat, but also to translate these changes into risks of extinction. A key objective of this project is to identify processes that contribute to extinction risks for particular species, and to prioritise potential conservation management strategies.
My work currently focuses on development of these models for the mountain pygmy-possum (Burramys parvus), an Endangered alpine marsupial considered particularly vulnerable to loss of suitable habitat through climate change.
Since beginning my PhD I’ve become a little obsessed with R, and use it for crunching numbers, manipulating, visualising and modelling data, tweeting, producing figures and documents, and for the myriad repetitive tasks that crop up.
I also have a photo blog over here. Go feast your eyes.
You can get in touch with me at email@example.com, or visit my research brethren at the website for the Quantitative and Applied Ecology Group.